Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#119
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#163
Pace68.0#204
Improvement+4.7#28

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#133
First Shot+0.6#161
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#92
Layup/Dunks-6.7#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
Freethrows-0.4#218
Improvement+4.1#14

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot+0.3#151
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#56
Layups/Dunks+7.9#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
Freethrows-0.3#210
Improvement+0.6#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 36 - 107 - 17
Quad 49 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 134   Arkansas Little Rock L 66-67 66%     0 - 1 -1.7 -0.1 -1.7
  Nov 10, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 59-50 95%     1 - 1 -6.4 -15.5 +9.3
  Nov 12, 2019 310   Cleveland St. W 73-53 91%     2 - 1 +8.5 -3.0 +11.7
  Nov 15, 2019 41   @ Xavier L 56-59 18%     2 - 2 +10.4 -4.0 +14.1
  Nov 21, 2019 92   Miami (FL) L 70-74 42%     2 - 3 +1.5 +2.1 -0.8
  Nov 22, 2019 257   Saint Joseph's W 71-69 80%     3 - 3 -3.6 -6.0 +2.4
  Nov 24, 2019 141   Buffalo L 74-75 57%     3 - 4 +0.7 +5.0 -4.4
  Nov 29, 2019 36   @ LSU L 58-73 16%     3 - 5 -0.7 -5.6 +2.9
  Dec 03, 2019 130   Murray St. W 71-69 65%     4 - 5 +1.4 -2.5 +3.8
  Dec 06, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 86-62 99%     5 - 5 -0.6 -10.1 +6.8
  Dec 11, 2019 212   Arkansas St. W 75-53 80%     6 - 5 +16.3 +5.1 +13.6
  Dec 15, 2019 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 51-61 26%     6 - 6 +0.2 -11.9 +11.5
  Dec 21, 2019 138   @ Oral Roberts L 72-82 44%     6 - 7 -5.1 -3.2 -1.7
  Dec 31, 2019 279   Evansville W 65-52 88%     7 - 7 1 - 0 +3.4 -4.9 +9.8
  Jan 04, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 58-62 35%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +3.5 -2.5 +5.5
  Jan 07, 2020 217   @ Illinois St. W 67-63 63%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +4.1 -0.8 +5.1
  Jan 11, 2020 59   Northern Iowa L 57-80 43%     8 - 9 2 - 2 -17.7 -10.8 -8.7
  Jan 15, 2020 109   Bradley L 78-91 58%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -11.7 +0.7 -11.7
  Jan 18, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 68-58 75%     9 - 10 3 - 3 +6.4 -3.7 +10.4
  Jan 23, 2020 146   Valparaiso W 67-60 69%     10 - 10 4 - 3 +5.4 -9.7 +14.9
  Jan 26, 2020 166   @ Drake L 69-71 50%     10 - 11 4 - 4 +1.4 -8.6 +10.2
  Jan 29, 2020 59   @ Northern Iowa L 66-95 22%     10 - 12 4 - 5 -17.6 -3.0 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2020 128   Indiana St. L 68-78 64%     10 - 13 4 - 6 -10.3 +3.1 -14.7
  Feb 05, 2020 217   Illinois St. W 80-60 81%     11 - 13 5 - 6 +14.1 +6.0 +8.1
  Feb 08, 2020 173   @ Southern Illinois L 66-68 53%     11 - 14 5 - 7 +0.7 +4.2 -3.7
  Feb 12, 2020 166   Drake W 97-62 72%     12 - 14 6 - 7 +32.4 +20.6 +10.9
  Feb 16, 2020 128   @ Indiana St. W 71-58 41%     13 - 14 7 - 7 +18.8 +2.7 +16.5
  Feb 19, 2020 109   @ Bradley L 79-83 OT 35%     13 - 15 7 - 8 +3.3 -1.3 +5.1
  Feb 22, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago W 74-62 58%     14 - 15 8 - 8 +13.5 +4.4 +9.2
  Feb 25, 2020 146   @ Valparaiso L 74-89 46%     14 - 16 8 - 9 -10.6 +2.3 -12.8
  Feb 29, 2020 173   Southern Illinois W 84-59 74%     15 - 16 9 - 9 +21.7 +5.7 +14.0
  Mar 06, 2020 128   Indiana St. W 78-51 53%     16 - 16 +29.8 +6.2 +23.7
  Mar 07, 2020 146   Valparaiso L 82-89 58%     16 - 17 -5.6 +8.1 -13.6
Projected Record 16 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%